Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Major Bourbon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Paco | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Projectability | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juniors Pal | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Klimt Master | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stevie Wonderful | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Probability | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Curls | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Power Speed | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Commander | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Meanie | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stanicky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Derek’s Law | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tarpaulin | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Panagiotis | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Airborne Elite | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ari’s Magic | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camm’ Duke | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Poppy’s Ticket | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speightful Storm | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alzero | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord King | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guilty | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Probe | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shadyside | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cararra | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elegant | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truthorconsequence | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carolina Smokeshow | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Another Cleeshay | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In Awe of Juju | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unbroken Chain | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don Luis | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kenny Be | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiote | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Rising | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fireballin | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ohoopee | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pinky Brier | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Purple Divine | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baseball Lady | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sparkling Mama | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tenacious Child | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caradise | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Karey | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hey Toby | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brew Pub | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Red Hot | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knox | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Night | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Because the Night | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eric From Miami | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Joy | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hours in a Day | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.