Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Mendelssohn | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Atrocious | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regalpains | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boys of Summer | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ramiel | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donnelly’s Hollow | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Evasive Moves | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Real Men Violin | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Booted Up | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Aire | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saucy Ham | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Authentic | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We Miss Neil | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Magic | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bulle Babe | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Essential Girl | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs Betty T | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emery’s Smile | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fireball Annie | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marty’s Magic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Traffic Master | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Gambling | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sal N Louie | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Lion | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Doom | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Romanesque | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Tankness | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willisau | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Preacha Meyers | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Bennett | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marvelous Mo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Expresso Bay | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Impressiveness | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grande Felino | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Barou | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gavone | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jethro Excellence | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dirty Cash | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nantucket | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Mor Stones | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Thunder | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sams After Party | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hephepcutdownnets | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Centaur Central | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Splitting Stones | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vix | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Neigh Dude | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lasso | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoke Wagon | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Try Harder | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Votre Sante | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Okie Den Den | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson Road | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ponder and Dream | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Chatham | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bala de Plata | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold in My Hands | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shane’s Wonder | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J Cody | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Respighi | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Solo in Paris | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cap Steak Robbery | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morethanafeeling | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keeping the Faith | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reelin N Dealin | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Composer | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Deivys | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Synergy | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.