Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bolt’s Treasure | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joewilly | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amentum | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saving Heart | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Ben | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ripple’s Rocket | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fair Hope | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Hat | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free of Frost | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Go West Go | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon’s Fault | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sexagenarian | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War of Destiny | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Bro | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Favoritism | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mellifluous | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aerate | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Militant | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Knickleandime | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spitfire | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agrippina | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jewlz | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kaboom | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Private Debbie | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tearin’up My Heart | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Audible | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Like Max | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highly Connected | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Western Warrior | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bird the Legend | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Tech | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timberline | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Large Risk | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Honey’s to Blame | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Dollar Eddie | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mansoura | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Shoes | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Sky | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dinner At Crumpies | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reveille Valley | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Markansas | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stephanie Starfish | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devils Fork | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Caesar | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hern | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Guard | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamis | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conquering Cat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bernin Tune | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Parkway | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fear of Union | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slip Mahoney | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J T’s Imagination | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dare Greatly | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Beauty | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Black Magic River | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Army’s Marauder | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Dang Fast | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Countess | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holly’s Holiday | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Time for Zima | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Sophie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Hot Springs S.) – Hot Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Desert Gate | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soldier N Diplomat | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top Level | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Race Ready | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strategic Risk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lincoln’s Law | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bricklin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tims | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Expensive Game | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Miss You | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Heat Wave | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arkansas Dave | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shooter McGavin | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | McBridge | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Copperjacket | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Bee | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Ms | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.