Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saving Heart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joewilly | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bolt’s Treasure | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amentum | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Ben | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fair Hope | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ripple’s Rocket | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Hat | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free of Frost | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon’s Fault | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go West Go | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Militant | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Bro | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War of Destiny | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sexagenarian | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aerate | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Favoritism | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mellifluous | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Knickleandime | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spitfire | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Agrippina | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jewlz | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tearin’up My Heart | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Debbie | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaboom | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Western Warrior | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bird the Legend | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highly Connected | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Like Max | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Tech | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Audible | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Timberline | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Large Risk | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Honey’s to Blame | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Dollar Eddie | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devils Fork | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Shoes | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Sky | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mansoura | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Markansas | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dinner At Crumpies | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reveille Valley | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stephanie Starfish | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hern | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bernin Tune | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamis | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Slip Mahoney | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J T’s Imagination | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Guard | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquering Cat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Parkway | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fear of Union | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Caesar | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dare Greatly | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Army’s Marauder | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Beauty | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Dang Fast | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Magic River | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Countess | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holly’s Holiday | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Sophie | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Time for Zima | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Hot Springs S.) – Hot Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Desert Gate | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lincoln’s Law | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Level | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bricklin | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soldier N Diplomat | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Race Ready | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strategic Risk | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Expensive Game | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arkansas Dave | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tims | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McBridge | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shooter McGavin | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Copperjacket | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Heat Wave | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Miss You | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Ms | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Bee | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.