Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tell Me When | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Way Or Another | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talkin in Cursive | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laura Branigan | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miranda’s Rocky | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Pack | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Balls in Ur Court | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adiva | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gimme a Chance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Polar Wolf | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Viney | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfectly Harvey | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Blessed | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernardi | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Fahrenheit | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jonesboogie | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Denali Lightning | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free of Frost | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Nique | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stevie Kicks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Slew | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roots Tootn | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peaceful Dreams | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vekoma’s Diva | 2.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Roxy | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebecca Jo | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trump’s Diamonds | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grayrock Lady | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bolivia | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Temperence Hill S.) – Temperence Hill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jokestar | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Parchment Party | 1.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forged Steel | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Strike | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tracking Error | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Compton | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Seven O | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Affair | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rooster J | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violence in Red | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canned Heat | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Ops | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | McFasty | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swung | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Biloba | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prime Power | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dawn At Normandy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tan Chulo | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Happy | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pharaohs Ghost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rip Cord | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trapianto Tom | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hola Joey | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Classic | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Tower | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Osbourne | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Force | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Practically Dark | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mish | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shape Note | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancin for Gold | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Worker | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Magic | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risk It | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsinmyblood | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart N Soul | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aaron | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Q B Nine | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (American Pharoah Overnight S.) – American Pharoah Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Winnemac Avenue | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Again | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Car Wash | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Publisher | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timeout | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Woodcourt | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tonka Warrior | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Power | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moe Eighty Eight | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Storm | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mena | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dual Monarchy | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Couperin | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viking | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Some Mo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Render Judgment | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B Sudd | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Oaklawn Mile S.) – Oaklawn Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Full Serrano (ARG) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | East Avenue | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nu What’s New | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Will Take It | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Aaron | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neoequos | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Party | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Battle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Banksy’s | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kelz | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fleek | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baby Vino | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Shot | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bedeviled | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockfest | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Cat Curlin | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slobberknocker | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Fancy Pants | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rocky Raccoon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Arkansas Derby) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silent Tactic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blackout Time | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Litmus Test | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Renegade | 1.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Redland Rebels | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bricklin | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taptastic | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exosome | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Napoleon Solo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whitley | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bemis | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wolf Tooth | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seventies Music | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Own My Destiny | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amore | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Vekoma Ride | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sedalia Trail | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pistol Padre | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Flat Out | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Instamania | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.