Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Victory Way | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Grande O | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breslau | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Acoustic Ave | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Full Moon Madness | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Always Angels | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Short Shift | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Foot | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beira | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Magic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Maize Zing Dotie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grace Reformed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devils Arrow | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tower Twenty Two | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Beauty | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mathea | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Glory | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Noguchi | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Cop | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cat Fast | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Powered by Coal | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beck’s Dreamer | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie Hustle | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swedish Candy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Always Packen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Light | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Undergrad | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Jackson | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tahila | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timia | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sabby Sunset | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calling an Audible | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | New York Scrappy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capt Jax Parrow | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smilensaycheese | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solo Dancing | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oath of Omerta | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Resilient Hero | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Little Birds | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sociably Johnny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baron of Sealand | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shadow Dragon | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three B’s | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alan Turing | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackson Heights | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sanzio | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dolly’s Bank | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Weekend | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I’m Kidding | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Attitude | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rare Society | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oklahoma Smoke | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St. Brigid’s Cross | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Lulu | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Six | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doppio Espresso | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.