Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Suitefourfourthree | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kava | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tikihut | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Minded | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Society | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Marriage | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Closdatgate | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Why Chris Why | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senorita Perdida | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bright Spark | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Noble Knight | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Underdressed | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J T’s Imagination | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Montauk Point | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hess | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Italian Symphony | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Revel Toast | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s the Tea | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glazin’ Fury | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amazing Amanda | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prowess | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What’s Up Dog | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summers With Sonya | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charla Collection | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iso Lucky | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Floating Beauty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kerry’s Kiss | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pronghorn | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three Coats | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thea | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Davina | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Tiempo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stylish Lady | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hoodlum | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winter’s Ghost | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Gunner | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dick Best | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Steven | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Right On Right On | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Alert | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jacks Spring Break | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Year Surprise | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ember | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Critical Threat | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lake Louise | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muskoka Katt | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feminism | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Tipsy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McSniper | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blondie’sincharge | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Sophie | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Woman | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bird of Prey | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ben Franklin | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Caliente | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Echo | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Soulfire | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crew Dragon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skyler | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bavaria Road | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nat Gas | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speechless | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Curlin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo’ Em Down | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Have Faith | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copper Wind | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brienz | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spa Prospector | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evolution | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lets Shakeit Sugar | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King Peanut | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strato | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | String Theory | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burlsworth | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Personal Jet | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Azteca Warrior | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chrome’s Echo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Barrier | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Razorback Army | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moneystrike | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.