Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Preem | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motet | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exington | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newport Dreamz | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fibonaccis Ride | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Infinity Dream | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shared Future | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nanci Griffith | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Rider | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theresasilverlinin | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bessie Coleman | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chai | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silent Way | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Authentic Patriot | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Memory | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plagarist | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zihnal | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catch the Max | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flying Drummer | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Packs a Wahlop | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | None Above the Law | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tariff | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Geometry | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Happy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Matt At Five | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s Ride | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame It On Jack | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knowhere | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Ride | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Santos | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take Another Swing | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Third Beer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Army Man | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie’s Curlin | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bust Out | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Court of Appeal | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magic Connection | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bolt Supremacy | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Novinophobia | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | James J. Braddock | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meeking | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Strength | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torleif | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bint Al Dandy (IRE) | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Robin With a Why | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sensational Dream | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Salute You | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitty Marren | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Kimbe | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Butterfly Beach | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tulavia’s World | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.