Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 3, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fortune King 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Joe Joe Dude 4.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Suspicions 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Super Saiyajin 12.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Bourbon Town 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Tigrado 30.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Cross Power 30.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Waggley 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Autism Honor G 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Golden Thread 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Miss Call 2.50 1.5 3-1
11 11 N Z Holly 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Menkaure 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Traject 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Frosty Mojito 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Princess Woejee 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Authentic Angel 30.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Trapped 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Alta Avenue 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Nonstop Vino 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Edey 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Camp Hale 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Donut God 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Our Starry Night 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Amoudi Bay 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Boltage 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Surf City 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Spiced Up 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Hogie the Player 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Whatchatalkinabout 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ships Inn 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Grant’s Gretchen 20.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Where Luck Lives 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Laken 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hypnotica 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Phantom Blue 4.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Only Me 5.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Movie Night 12.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Lady Diversity 4.50 7.8 15-1
1 1 Lil Braveheart 30.00 8.2 16-1
16 16 Daring Move 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mika’s Way 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bodacious Bay 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Pinto 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Belle 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kristi’s Spirit 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Lafayette S.) – Lafayette S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Knock It Off 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Arctic Beast 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Comport 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Oscar’s Hope 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Carson Street 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Trouble Calling 3.50 6.1 12-1
5 5 Star Sweeper 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mount Horeb 6.00 1 2-1
13 13 Side Street 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Without (IRE) 1.80 3 6-1
2 2 Fort Thomas 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Sumood 4.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Protective 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Domingo 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Bite and Strike 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 The Dover Specter 30.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Tiz Freedom 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 A Bourbon for Toby 8.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Start Mo Up 50.00 11 21-1
16 16 Rocky Joy 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 House United 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Noble Confessor 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 States’ Rights 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Middleground Capital Beaumont S.) – Middleground Capital Beaumont S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sneaky Good 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 A Fine Chardonnay 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Kingsolver 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Coco Connect 30.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Wrong Shoes 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Just Bluffing 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Baracca 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Uk Healthcare Transylvania S.) – Uk Healthcare Transylvania S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Remember Mamba 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Attfield 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Proton 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Street Beast 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Zeppelin 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Noble Dynasty 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Vasy (IRE) 4.50 7.2 14-1
9 9 Aces Honor 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Honey Dutch 6.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Ganaas 15.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Time for America 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Central Bank Ashland S.) – Central Bank Ashland S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zany 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 French Friction 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Percy’s Bar 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Omaha Bay 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Star Actress 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Hollybygolly 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Nycon 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prize Pick 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Obelus 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Ravenous 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Heading 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Democracy Defender 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 He’s a Charmer 15.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Epic Horsepower 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Drop Shot 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Supercharger 10.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Telecaster 20.00 7 13-1
14 14 In America 30.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Cash Bonus 15.00 9 17-1
15 15 Tilson 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lemon’s Law 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Newman 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fatguyinlittlecoat 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.