Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thailand | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clocker Special | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Very Connected | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tripp’s Promise | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gethsemane | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Mischief | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Givethedevilhisdue | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deep Flame | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Accost | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gilded Bandit | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buntus Foclora | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grande Sorpreso | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Munny | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Payton’s Hammer | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parris Island | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | U Jheremy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swing Vote | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sippin Pretty | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solemn Vow | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smell the Lilies | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Two Girls | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gena B | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | More Carats | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camila Catalina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honfleur | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just in Touch | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Island Girl | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dyna | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call On Me | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cairosa | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lost Chord | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany Cross | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Twirling Daisy | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Eat Hay Run | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rune | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mappy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Paseo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sammy the Shark | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Raging Bloom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Praetor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Implementation | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Touchy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Liam | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Demolition Duke | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | U Devil You | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thoughtthatcounts | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gate to Wire | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C K Wonder | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Inexorable | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Hush This | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | John Hancock | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ship Ship Hooray | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shoot It True | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buttercream Babe | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amalfi Drive | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosato | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caberneigh | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Letmenowhenurready | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Stormy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hey Bertie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Serving Time (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Commonwealth S.) – Commonwealth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saudi Crown | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | National Identity | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Mason | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Multitask | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Track Mate | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Saikali | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be You | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Imaginationthelady | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Aloof | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Troienne | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | To a Flame | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Counterbalance | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Doll | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lion Lake (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storm’s Wake | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alone Time | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Faithful Departed | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kokomotion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Resolute Racing Madison S.) – Resolute Racing Madison S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Job | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Disaster | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clicquot | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Lake | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Silver | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eclatant | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Praying | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Valvoline Global Shakertown S.) – Valvoline Global Shakertown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Usually Wrong | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yellow Card | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rezasrolex | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bear River | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joe Shiesty | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Litigation | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Prince | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Headed | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mondogetsbuckets | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clock Tower | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Full Disclosure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Works for Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Toyota Blue Grass S.) – Toyota Blue Grass S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Reagan’s Honor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Creole Chrome | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Further Ado | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great White | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ottinho | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talkin | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonstrocity | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ocelli | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Class President | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.