Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thailand | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Very Connected | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gethsemane | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Mischief | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clocker Special | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tripp’s Promise | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deep Flame | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Givethedevilhisdue | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Accost | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gilded Bandit | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buntus Foclora | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grande Sorpreso | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Payton’s Hammer | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | U Jheremy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Munny | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parris Island | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swing Vote | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sippin Pretty | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Two Girls | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smell the Lilies | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gena B | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solemn Vow | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camila Catalina | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Carats | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honfleur | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Eat Hay Run | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dyna | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call On Me | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paseo | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just in Touch | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Island Girl | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Twirling Daisy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany Cross | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cairosa | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rune | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lost Chord | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raging Bloom | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mappy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sammy the Shark | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Praetor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | John Hancock | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | U Devil You | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gate to Wire | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Touchy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Liam | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Implementation | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C K Wonder | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Inexorable | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Demolition Duke | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ship Ship Hooray | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Hush This | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Thoughtthatcounts | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shoot It True | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Bertie | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buttercream Babe | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serving Time (GB) | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amalfi Drive | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Stormy | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosato | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caberneigh | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Letmenowhenurready | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Commonwealth S.) – Commonwealth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saudi Crown | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Mason | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be You | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | National Identity | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Multitask | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Track Mate | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Saikali | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sister Troienne | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Imaginationthelady | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lion Lake (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kokomotion | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Aloof | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | To a Flame | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Doll | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm’s Wake | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Counterbalance | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faithful Departed | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alone Time | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Resolute Racing Madison S.) – Resolute Racing Madison S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Job | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Disaster | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eclatant | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clicquot | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Silver | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Lake | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Praying | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Valvoline Global Shakertown S.) – Valvoline Global Shakertown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Litigation | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Usually Wrong | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rezasrolex | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Prince | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Joe Shiesty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yellow Card | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mondogetsbuckets | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear River | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Headed | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Full Disclosure | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Works for Me | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clock Tower | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Toyota Blue Grass S.) – Toyota Blue Grass S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Further Ado | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reagan’s Honor | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Class President | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creole Chrome | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talkin | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great White | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ottinho | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocelli | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonstrocity | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.