Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marjoram | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’ Em Down | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Still Unwritten | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Struck By Her (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmic Heat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Happen | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bear’s Board | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | South Bay | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | March of Time | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crude Velocity | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comedy Town | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Santarena | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | For All Mankind | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deer District | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its a Cinch | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Winston Ave | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Shreve | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duke Silver | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yautown | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Koko | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raikkonen | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bull Tiz | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Echo Eddie S. Presented By Daily Racing Form) – Echo Eddie S. Presented By Daily Racing Form
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Rebel | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sammy Davis | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galloping Ghost | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy Norris | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Melodee | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fionello | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pioneer Prince | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vantastic | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Russells Hustle | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zalamo (FR) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hotrocket (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cathal (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ah Jeez | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Don’t Swear Dave | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maniatic (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | J T’s Watch | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Santa Anita Oaks Presented By Surfside) – Santa Anita Oaks Presented By Surfside
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Meaning | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forced Entry | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | French Blue | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Blonde | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hypergamy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bank Shot | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Cherry | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oracle of Paradise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eugene Sledge | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Booked Clubhouse | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gaines | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Doing Time | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tight Dally | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Vengeance | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halninethousand | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Farmer Tom | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Passion D Oro | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Evening Jewel S. Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Evening Jewel S. Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mohaven | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Another Zero | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Sassy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cee Drew | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cecilia Street | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapatia Mia | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lino’s Angel | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donttellmewhattodo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Call Me Sir | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | King of Dragons | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warm Sun and Brew | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stylishlyacclaimed | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sabertooth | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Please Focus | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cullen J | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Dolce | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freeport Joe | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highplainsdrifter | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed of Elon | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zagreus | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Santa Anita Derby) – Santa Anita Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Potente | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherokee Nation | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So Happy | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Intrepido | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robusta | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vitruvian Man | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Start the Ride | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Monrovia S. Presented By Don Julio) – Monrovia S. Presented By Don Julio
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen Maxima | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Appeals | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tirupati | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princesa Moche (PER) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirited Boss | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amorita | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sareeha (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 98 | Decisive Deception | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 98 | Amor Secreto | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 98 | Thriving Autism | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Society U | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 9 | Somerset West | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silkie Sevei (IRE) | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cortina d’Amprezzo (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 10 | Maddog | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 11 | Greys Over Bays | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 7 | Peppermint Dash | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 8 | Daring Pursuit | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Subatomic Law | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Whatastarr (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin At Diamond | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.