Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Waggley | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smoke | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frontline Fury | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Techwerkian | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Excessive Violence | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respected Mind | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fizzypopberrytwist | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Life | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mischief Mania | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sully | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Empire | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nassau Circle | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guardian | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Urban Ruler | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trew Violence | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Deal | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Il Cavallino | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jus Too Fly | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imperial Ruler | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aubrey’s Max | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prototype | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kapoor | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amarth | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liam in the Dust | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord I Wonder | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nilo’s Rose | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sudden Switch | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just an Opinion | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Expecto Patronum | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cuvee Creed | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oath | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fresh Out | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Miss | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash N Dash | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lexi’s Melody | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Biscuit | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Red Rainbow | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luck of the Day | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peggie Castle | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Integration | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theismann | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dresden Row | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nelson Avenue | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Andthewinneris | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Idratherbeblessed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Strike | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Answered Prayers | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emerald Spun | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shestallthatsall | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dad’s Two Sense | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Hen Chick | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | East Bay | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wujood | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flash of Freedom | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polly Darling | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Love You Anyway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Attitude | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fire Moon | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Kitty Boom | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Icona (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love and Poetry | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Holiday | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J N J Heartandsoul | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Molly B | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poema | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Funs Lil Sis | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sharons Beach | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Go | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Brass | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | General Graham | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Versed | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kid Twist | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Audible | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Horsetron Supreme | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vino Subito | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Is Okay | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tobin Lee | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Hooligan | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.