Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Draft Riots | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frostelle | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Ducks | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brightline Bullet | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr R T | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Onepac | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gunner Bay | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shipsational | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princip | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Wisdom | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maldini | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wake Surf | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Register | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tuthilltown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Garden of Grace | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Find Your Path | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karley B | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Into the Unknown | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Floy Joy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Force of Mischief | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pulling Threads | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Carol’s Way | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ubique | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jordan’s Love | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majorsdreamcometru | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truda | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Axis Point | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secured Landing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Tide | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catch the Smoke | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brave Bear | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Got This | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hours in a Day | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shootersgottashoot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Remi’s Moon | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lotsa Trouble | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prove Worthy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kavanaugh | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cicciobello | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shared Success | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Toby | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Patty Cakes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Cool | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Impression | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Problematica | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Open Soul Autism | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie the Joker | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Lao | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Dantz | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.