Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 11 | Chaching Chaching | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ragtime Sizzle | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Look N Mighty Fine | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coldasice | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2B | 3 | Chiquita Reina | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Safecracker Sue | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Illy Simz | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3C | 9 | Cashmere Baby | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 8 | Army Nurse | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Myspittinimage | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pirulita | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Daring Madison | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rational Theory | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mancuso | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | McSniper | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fraud Alert | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kaybella | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cali Cream | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes Julia | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked One | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Derby Date | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Liam | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | City of Clouds | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Majesty | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Come Out Fighting | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mumayaz | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racarino | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cape Trafalgar | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campfire Creed | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holding Pattern | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Table Money | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lea Me Be | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remember the Fear | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Reya Sunshine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pippa’s Noncents | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Air Castle | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Emmallene | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Que Sera | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belvedere Club | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Add to Cart | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sammy Sam Sam | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shes the Tall One | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Celina | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Line Runner | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Max Krackin | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calipari’s Girl | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cowboy Killer | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pink Ruby | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misty Muppet | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Up the Creek | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bang Bang Fury | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Severe Clear | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She Called | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kissin Cash | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vegas Condo | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jaydensqueenoharts | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Troubler | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Palmer Beach | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Climber | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Joke | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brosnan | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Time Story | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Cory | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Liberal | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raaq Tansani | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grab the Spark | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princeton | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Biz | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Soco Kid | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gun Runner Charlie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Division | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Promise | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baddest Good Boy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Number One Dude | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oscar Eclipse | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classify | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Like a Diamond | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Whispering Charm | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Baby D | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Vision of Hope | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blackwood | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reach’nforrainbows | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Artemis Sparkles | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stephens Dream | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Conniption | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carolines Hart | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Surprising Love | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sua Sponte | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | North Lake Kate | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Ryder | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.