Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vino Frizzante | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kyle’s Mom | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snide | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Racing Colors | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grace and Grit | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amy’s Light | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thirteen G’s | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Kartrite | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toga d’Oro | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into Inspiration | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Math Tutor | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Merciless | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moon Gate | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Edistrudis | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elegant | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calling an Audible | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlit Weekend | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Principia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Life | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solutions | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lough Currane | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Brown Egg | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trapping Hands | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Musume | 50.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gualillo | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Plex | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Hero Code | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winegold | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Killybegs Kid | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Spirited | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamaica Redd | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie Charmer | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wonder Mist | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southeastern | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Toy Cannon | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slay Sadie Slay | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonsai Warrior | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | First Blessing | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Rocket | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Marelow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet’s Dream | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purpose | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Gal | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heavens Lee | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luckforyou | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A. P. Slingshot | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maxisure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Sinatra | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Felonious | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stream It | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fightforallegiance | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Resolute Will | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into the Light | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bishop Booming | 2.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | San Giovanni | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.