Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Curahee | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tagliatelle | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chado | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bebedouro | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Track Ranger | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Kentucky | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Pranks | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Two Black | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mandy’s Man Can | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Props | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nash Potatoes | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King of Salsa | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Market Watch | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | He’s All Heart | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Reinbow Factor | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Field Study | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Dime | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Oso | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | September Silver | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Southern Soul | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lennie G | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Frosted Mug | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Beale Street Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Touch of Fire | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Doctrine | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tacticality | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chambersville | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | J J Grey | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mendels Mate | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Money | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Third Coast | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zeus’s Echo | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischief Ride | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Khetam | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hayes Goal | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Knoty Knicks | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Patrol Squad Six | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | McCready | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gairloch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Profound | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Property | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sound Cause | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur Jr | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dewy’s Denali | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Spun to Run | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aguila Negra | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maximum Promise | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Daisy Flyer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vina Arana (IRE) | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Somethinabouther | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ceniza Pampa (ARG) | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bracelet | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goats On a Tree | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Onemoredance (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In the Stars | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deloraine | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Caviar Breakfast | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Ilze (GB) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wind Flower | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Classy’n Connected | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Exclusive Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Strong Destiny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mahra’s Love (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Puteketeke | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mizzou | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Beat | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Torre Eiffel | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Moment | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ring Curl | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perrylu | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Culper Code | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fanduel Limestone S.) – Fanduel Limestone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cy Fair | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Map of the Moon | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lennilu | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Street | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Light Won Up | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Snow Face Princess | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sapphire Beach (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Slay the Day | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Should’ve | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Eloquence | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Debbie Doll | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Martini | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Candy Talking | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Will Happen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cut to the Chase | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chatter | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ginger Zip | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Going Steady | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Gemma | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Autumn Rhythm | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tetiaroa | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keyana | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maker’s Mark Mile S.) – Maker’s Mark Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Notable Speech (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhetorical | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zulu Kingdom (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Brilliant Berti | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Stripe (SAF) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Dashing | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aomori City (FR) | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Deterministic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bear River | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tenacious Leader | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Troubleshooting | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pitkin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swaging | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Advice | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barker | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’s Last Ride | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr American Pie | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hill Country | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chasing Gray | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sparked | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Good Sal | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Blazy | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Trouble | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Chappelle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hewson | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.