Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Curahee | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bebedouro | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Track Ranger | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tagliatelle | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chado | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Pranks | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King of Kentucky | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Two Black | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | He’s All Heart | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Props | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Market Watch | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nash Potatoes | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mandy’s Man Can | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Beale Street Boy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lennie G | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Frosted Mug | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King of Salsa | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | September Silver | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Field Study | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Southern Soul | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Oso | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Reinbow Factor | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Dime | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Touch of Fire | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Patrol Squad Six | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tacticality | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Knoty Knicks | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Doctrine | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Gairloch | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | J J Grey | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chambersville | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mischief Ride | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | McCready | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Third Coast | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mendels Mate | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Khetam | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zeus’s Echo | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hayes Goal | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Money | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maximum Promise | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Profound | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Property | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur Jr | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aguila Negra | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sound Cause | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Spun to Run | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dewy’s Denali | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bracelet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In the Stars | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Somethinabouther | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daisy Flyer | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Strong Destiny | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Onemoredance (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Exclusive Star | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wind Flower | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Ilze (GB) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goats On a Tree | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Caviar Breakfast | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Classy’n Connected | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vina Arana (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Mahra’s Love (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ceniza Pampa (ARG) | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deloraine | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Puteketeke | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mizzou | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Moment | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Torre Eiffel | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Culper Code | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Beat | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perrylu | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ring Curl | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fanduel Limestone S.) – Fanduel Limestone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cy Fair | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lennilu | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Snow Face Princess | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light Won Up | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Street | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sapphire Beach (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Map of the Moon | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Slay the Day | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Eloquence | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Should’ve | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Martini | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Talking | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Debbie Doll | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Will Happen | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Gemma | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cut to the Chase | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chatter | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Autumn Rhythm | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Going Steady | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tetiaroa | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keyana | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ginger Zip | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maker’s Mark Mile S.) – Maker’s Mark Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Notable Speech (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhetorical | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Deterministic | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Stripe (SAF) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zulu Kingdom (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Brilliant Berti | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Dashing | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aomori City (FR) | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bear River | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tenacious Leader | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Troubleshooting | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pitkin | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chappelle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swaging | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Trouble | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barker | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Advice | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’s Last Ride | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr American Pie | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hill Country | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hewson | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sparked | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Good Sal | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chasing Gray | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Blazy | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.