Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Strike Ridge | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zippy Mark | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Dollar Eddie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Moon | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dinner At Crumpies | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Sky | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Premium | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Commerce | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Underhill’s Tab | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Racarino | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mumayaz | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Liam | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flipping Fish | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift as I Am | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lea Me Be | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Bryan | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black White N Gold | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cool Under Fire | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | More Power | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clear Echo | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Getoutyourwallet | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bote | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Fired Up | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled’s Heir | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castle Gap | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Peel | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Butch | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Capital Connection | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nyquist Frequency | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Stop Willis | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highway Patrol | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Historic | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lower Broadway | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greystar | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tims | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Catalina Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Maxxus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Irish Whiskey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | World Fair | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jester Sang | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joewilly | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amazing Music | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stillbilly | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bowlfulloflemons | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Improbability | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rapid Return | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Convolution | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dawson James | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ripple’s Rocket | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Midshakin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Publicity | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | After Party | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Joker | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aerate | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holus Bolus | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Happy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Texas Cyclone | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gold Gunner | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rynotograce | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Money Mo | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Arthur’s Court | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Leonardo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Syndicate | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Jo Jo | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feral | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage Cowboy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone County | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Machado | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Mortal | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Centerline | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Payne | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bron and Brow | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Innova | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Machine Gun Man | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lightning Struck | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aero Star | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Juilliard | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzlemesilver | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Go West | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Konteekee | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holiday House | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ravin’s Town | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gee No Hollander | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Run Jalen Run | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hymn | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eli’s Promise | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Me a Song | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Innovator | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risk It | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Mule | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pride’s Prince | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon’s Fault | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gettinby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Drewvictory | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Ridge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Igniting Embers | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Humorous Saint | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arkansas Dave | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Go Ro Ro | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Blessed | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Tater | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Arctic | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eminent Cat | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gloryland Band | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruly’s Street | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Steel Thunder | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bernardi | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Perfectly Harvey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.