Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 11, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Castle Chaos 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Good Lord 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Moment’s Notice 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Asleep At Eight 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Caramel Chip 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Focusyn 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Panagiotis 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Epitaph 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Enduring Spirit 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Camm’ Duke 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Because the Night 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magni 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Tapwrits Temper 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Majestic Arc 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Essentially Fast 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dat Dares Right 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Monte Avi 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Restless Renegade 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Chess Match 1.40 2.3 4-1
2 2 Xcel 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Crowbar Artist 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Go Dharma 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Ruby’s Trouble 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Graywing 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Timaeus 1.60 3 6-1
1 1 Nabokov 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Screaming Uncle 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Glint 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Sin Nombre 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Mind Your Biscuits S.) – Mind Your Biscuits S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gallant One 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Illmatic 1.40 1.2 2-1
5 5 Sculcos Folly 1.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Sunday Boy 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Hurricane Kaz 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Fourstar Crook S.) – Fourstar Crook S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hot Currency 1.00 1 2-1
8 8 Irish Fortune 10.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Greek Goddess 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Miss Jane Hathaway 8.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Rock Steady Babe 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Power of Women 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hip Hop Dancer 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Clap Back 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chocolatechocolate 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Take Me to Londyn 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Furry Fox 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Itwillbefun 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Eleni 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cara’s Chianti 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Jay’s Love 30.00 6 11-1
1 1 Cathedral Aisle 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.