Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 11, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Castle Chaos 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Caramel Chip 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Good Lord 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Asleep At Eight 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Moment’s Notice 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Camm’ Duke 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Because the Night 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Focusyn 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Epitaph 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Panagiotis 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Enduring Spirit 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Majestic Arc 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dat Dares Right 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magni 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Monte Avi 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tapwrits Temper 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Essentially Fast 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Restless Renegade 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Go Dharma 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ruby’s Trouble 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Xcel 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Crowbar Artist 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Chess Match 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Graywing 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nabokov 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sin Nombre 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Timaeus 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Screaming Uncle 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Glint 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Mind Your Biscuits S.) – Mind Your Biscuits S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Illmatic 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sculcos Folly 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gallant One 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hurricane Kaz 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sunday Boy 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (New York Stallion Cupecoy’s Joy Division S.) – New York Stallion Cupecoy’s Joy Division S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Power of Women 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Jane Hathaway 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Irish Fortune 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rock Steady Babe 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hip Hop Dancer 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Greek Goddess 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hot Currency 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Clap Back 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jay’s Love 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Chocolatechocolate 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Furry Fox 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Take Me to Londyn 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cara’s Chianti 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Itwillbefun 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Eleni 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cathedral Aisle 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.