Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Speed Skater | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buckeye Bombshell | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nuts and Bolts | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | West Coast Dream | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lexico | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galatina | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knockonwood | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen McKinzie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starbrite Starlite | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beale Street Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Standard Deduction | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | September Silver | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gentleman Jim | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Next Time | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Mug | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dispersion | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roundingthird | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wild Cotton | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In the Tank | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cardinal Union | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Soul | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Amador | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Janey’s Flyin | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Race for Cover | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Usain Th (URU) | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eye Dee Kay | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money Run | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of Hollywood | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hope Joe’s Right | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tres Soles | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fountain Run | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Non Fungible | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Minister | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shewontbudge | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin Robin | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pinto | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Darling | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Island Barbie | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cookie’s Run | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mon Reve | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willowy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Once Upon a Time | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Comprehensive | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minotaur | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wrathchild | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tilson | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Newman | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Provider | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bhatia | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Factor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Underappreciated | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ur Benja | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Still Sober | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quiet Mischief | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Warrior | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Authentic Strike | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Excite | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Malibu | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Original Sin | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Septarian | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard as Life | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arkhipov | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Confessor | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ciro di Marzio | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love’m Or Liam | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sicilian Defense | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rocky Joy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinister Cix | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apophis | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master of Light | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Right Timing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haywinii | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Rascasse | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Al Ghadeer | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Our Ten | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arcana | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Epic Proud Mary | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Belle | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Passion | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pharoah’s Affair | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose of San Antone | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lets Shance It | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Jenny Wiley S.) – Jenny Wiley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lush Lips (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Segesta | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Destino d’Oro | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Pricing (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aussie Girl (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Expensive Queen (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Medoro | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Satin | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pin Up Betty | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Market | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stonestreet Lexington S.) – Stonestreet Lexington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ezum | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Confessional | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corona de Oro | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Hell We Did | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exhibition Only | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enforced Agenda | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I Did I Did | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decisive Win | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ramblin | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trendsetter | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister T | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heeere’s Johnny | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coordinator | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West End Kid | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Guard | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starmetal | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soulman | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Terre Haute | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sharons Angels | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mush Carey | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Honors | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Edzo Said So | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Penn Star | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.