Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rowdy Riot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Militant | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lottery Win | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mitty’s Griddy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Tech | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Fire | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scottish Storm | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bolt At Midnight | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camp Daddy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Parkway | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Booming | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tis Charming | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Curlins Incharge | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ringside | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Speed Bias | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Bettera | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hawks Creek | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Poppa Echo | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Culpa | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Herb | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon’s Fault | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenlyconveyance | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trouble Ahead | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Caliente | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yell County | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ky Do Declare | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Santinni | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mamoot | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matt’s Luck | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amentum | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good News Rocket | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heavenly Deacon | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bigwrigdude | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skibidi Rizz | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sneaky Feet | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He Is Heaven Sent | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Surveillance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nasty Habit | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mish | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Heisman | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heart N Soul | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sitka | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Barksdale | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Debbie Doll | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ducat | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz in Sight | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Fox | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | You’re in Heaven | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Auntie Vodka | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | L’Eclair | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Empath | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Amanda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Patton’s Tizzy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lord of Rhymes | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Triple Up | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Al’s Romeo | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bettys Cash | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brahms Image | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hicko | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bossofmi | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Four O Nine | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Max Dot Socks | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Count Fleet Sprint H.) – Count Fleet Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Booth | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roll On Big Joe | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wendelssohn | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tejano Twist | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Catch | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mad House | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaminblue | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Bourbon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No More Kings | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Munnings Challenge | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jazz Man | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doublecents | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Extremist | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | P R the Holy Man | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Echobayou | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Titan King | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hillbilly Daydream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Apple Blossom H.) – Apple Blossom H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nitrogen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Oops | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Five G | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regaled | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Fire | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nerazurri | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Om N Joy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Claret Beret | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Move | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Go Go Boss | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Favorite Day | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Strike | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Minister | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight West | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Expect the Best | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Legacy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Itsinmyblood | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Society | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camp Evans | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fort Sam | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Conway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tartarian | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Richochet Rick | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rapid Return | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Viney | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bo Bo Dough | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ripple’s Rocket | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Chavo | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 12 | Southfork | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Convolution | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bet On Tiz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Best Flat Out | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Bernardi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | American Rushfire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.