Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Isadora Duncan (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rules and Regs | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Use Me (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eat Hay Run | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Yaudacity | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tulip | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joke Maker | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Story | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River Empress | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | High Street Pizzaz | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alluring Beauty | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Escape | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Senior Officer | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sargent Sully | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bring the Smoke | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucius Verus | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Uncle | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Pour | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Competitive Market | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sunshine Daydream | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sy B | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canterbury Lane | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Secretary | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vronti (GB) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jalila | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Surrender | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Spin | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Jerseys Parade | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Oraia | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smokin Hot Blonde | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Gigi’s World | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Sweet Molly B | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ensorcell | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pass and Go | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flash of Chaos | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backside | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hard Circle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Al Amjaad | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stoic Sage | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Grandeur | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Rog | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tregetour | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weekend Reveille | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Circle the Storm | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Whatever | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pay Heed | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shirley’s Boyz | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beach Ballad | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Munnings Talks | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Empress New Groove | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Core Memories | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | How About Now | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ez Connect | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Tell Anne | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Sybil | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empress Sisi | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Birch Run | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evangalina | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Oaks Street | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uptown Caroline | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Landed | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Omaha | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pahoehoe d’Oro | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gowells Delight | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sierra November | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foreseen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Giant’s Causeway S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Giant’s Causeway S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Shining Star (CHI) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gratefully | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Saratoga Special (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In Our Time | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlene’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Time to Dazzle | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saturday Flirt | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Creed’s Gold | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pondering | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Love Cervere | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Movin’ On Up | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Queen | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Trouble | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Tempting Eve | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Me Governor | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Egyptian Mau (SAF) | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Civil Liberty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Criteria | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beijing | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo the Merrier | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iconoclast | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Associated | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Market Runner | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Symbol | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Vaggio | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Iron Man Cal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pitkin | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tenacious Leader | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capitol Hill | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Mischief | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | End of Romance (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tough Little Nut | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Joejoe Go | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Justice | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Megalodon | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Harvest | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Special Caliber | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.