Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Getting Closer 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Shot At Perfection 1.80 1.2 2-1
6 6 In for a Spin 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Poppy Woppy 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Nightmare Fuel 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Twirlaway 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zamina 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Autism Honor G 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lack of Riesling 10.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Joker’s Chic 1.80 1.2 2-1
9 9 Pot’s Right 4.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Peak Perspective 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Vasha 15.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Baytown Ona 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rush Hour 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eye Witness 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tuskegee Airmen 4.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Inexorable 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Honky Tonk Highway 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Kavod 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Scat Free 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Smoken Boy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rose Ruler 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dismiss 12.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Zap d’Etat 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Ink Lies 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Big Blue Notion 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 McCann 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 I’m Trouble 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sedona Spirit 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Caragogo 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Couldyoubeloved 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Footnote 12.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Black Ginger 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Mombayla 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Spotaway 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 She’s No Angel 3.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Brooklyn Can Dance 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Wild Acclaim 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gypsy Art 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Jubilee Parade 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Taterpie 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Inordinary 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Himothy 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Triple Max 30.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Fuzzy Stare 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Catch Hound 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Outofpi 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Feline Curious 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fact 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Rothko 1.40 1.1 2-1
4 4 Sweetalkingbourbon 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Coalmoon 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Alston 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Roger Roger 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Child of the Moon (FR) 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Distant Winter (SAF) 15.00 1.9 3-1
12 12 Sweet Treasure 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Austere 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 She’s Lookin Lucky 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Settling Storm 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Smiling Ellie 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Sanctify 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Zadorsky 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 She’s All Charm 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 La Marinera 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 Peak Popularity 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.