Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moon Over Choctaw | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catching Heat | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Costly | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Everything Bugs Me | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justice Addition | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donita | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vinno Ronnie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Rey Dorado | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Jack | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Autie | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Q B Nine | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Exton | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Big Un | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shouldaboughtdabar | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abitibi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hello Angel | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Singing Emma | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mercy Warren | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Jeopardy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Collected Glory | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frolic in the Park | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood Queen | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ashburner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cutting Class | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piastri | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Awol | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jute Box | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copperjacket | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polar Wolf | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rag Tree | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Hamazing | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo’s Flying Low | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Finster | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmies Big Day | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday House | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Sterling | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ceepeegee | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halloween | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sound of Victory | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Bobs Business | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Permafrost | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rock Solo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cybertown | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizmarkus | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | String Theory | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hess | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | God’s Country | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Sanders | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mansoura | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Global Heat Wave | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Papa Yo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shepherd | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baxter | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fear of Union | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Django | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernin Tune | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mirage | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eleven Bravo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Unassuming | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emmallene | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Roxy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roots Tootn | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Total Fabrication | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Strategy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Zing | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Line Runner | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kansas Smoke | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bolivia | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Threeoneniner | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grayrock Lady | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.