Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reliable Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malu | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Bobbie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Frizzante | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Serengeti | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cararra | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Coquito | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Eib Micrphn | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Magic | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Glory | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Emily Kathryn | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whistler’s Style | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolce Sera | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo for the King | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Billy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sinister Smile | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Social Hour | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Dreaming | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Irish | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timaeus | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seeker’s Hope | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Up for an Oscar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orgonite | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steady Force | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Power | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Act | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capt Fluff N Stuff | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party Animal | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C J Star | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Di Natale (CHI) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bernieandtherose | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dangherecomesshang (IRE) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Montreal | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Next On Stage | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mila Candy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Somnium | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Will Not Be Swayed | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shore War | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tap It Up | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blame the Banker | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Probability | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Senegal | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ez Roll | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Banker | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corvus | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaz Oil Changer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gamebred | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smilensaycheese | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Plenty Of Grace S.) – Plenty Of Grace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | And One More Time | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oversubscribed (GB) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Music | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Al Jafara (GB) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Relaxx (FR) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accent (GB) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Do Gooder | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Miami (IRE) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Lad | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lord King | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aristide Maillol | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kirkwood | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dinghy Bar | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sweetnessthrtyfour | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speightful Storm | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moonlight Drive | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poppy’s Ticket | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Spun Intended | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Deacon Blues | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eye On the Ball | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peyton | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.