Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy Roy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brightshininglight | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summerinthecountry | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flatter My Dad | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Se Thar Barr | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Baltic | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regency Tale | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guerrilla Magic | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Garage Beers | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of Fog | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Matthew’s Ticket | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | M D Fieldstone | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crossingthechannel | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Import | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Wallet | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Day Will Come | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Manipulator | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stately Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thisishowwedoit | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocker Roller | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame and Fortune | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu’s Rumrunner | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Niche | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Jig | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Lady Lena | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Endless Vow | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gravity Hill | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Luminous Secret | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lien On Her | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whatsyourbigidea | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tea Rose | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rehoboth Avenue | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jumping Julia | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gogo’s Mojo | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fire At Midnight | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power and Glory | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Haired Gal | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Julia’s a Fox | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Feels So Right | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Denae | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Impressiveness | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Roscoe | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fayes Heart | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Mode | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poor Peanut | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paynted Lion | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rampagius | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lonesome Road | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sardis | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What Say Thee | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Recker Point | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Certified Loverboy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Feeling Woozy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smuggler’s Gold | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ruddy Buddy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hittheroadjak | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King’s River | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In the Dance | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Waittilmidnitehour | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Loveliest | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hue | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ready for Trouble | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best Girl Magic | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afterneath | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blame the Banker | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diane Lee | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Clawless Brit | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Finch | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Fool With Me | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bedazzle | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s No Uncle | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sassafrassness | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spencer Tiara | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greek Heiress | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mad for Maddy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Drive | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nancy Mary | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bold Endeavor | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Night Time Nap | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bigtonten | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Bernie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top Blood | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catatumbo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy Yankee | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.