Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Always Spiteful | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Revel Toast | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What’s the Tea | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clap Back | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Seeker | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Missy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wolf Tooth | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yancopin | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | House Trick | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pistol Padre | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Irish | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden City Street | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keokuk Kid | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Bourbon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 8 | Argan | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Legally Lucky | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 4 | What’s to Do | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2B | 7 | Boltoro | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 5 | Saranac Lake | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Moenchanted | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Chasing Shadows | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 6 | L. A. Diamond | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Faust | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m McDreamy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Got Game | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clockin In | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Jimi D | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Force | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Max Got Excited | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Itzel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanett | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ibuki | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Arlington | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Electrifying Lady | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | September Magic | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Carroll County | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Key to Success | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Filly Crystal | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rojo Rita | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kelly’s Girl | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Butterfly | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ozona | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Prayer | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delacina | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swiftwind | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I Got No Munny | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Martini Blu | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking Sawyer | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Waco | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taillights | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chez Whiz | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Shoes | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Shot | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Face Value | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Barrier | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Critical Threat | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spun D M C | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top Level | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hammond | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Man | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Ken | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty Four Yarder | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scouser | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moneymilitia | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rooster J | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bendoog | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gould’s Gold | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stronghold | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seize the Night | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Party | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Woodcourt | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Russell | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fatguyinlittlecoat | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bienville | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camino | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hillbilly Daydream | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shances R | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Point | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Fuzz | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rip Cord | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie Paper | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.