Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Revel Toast | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What’s the Tea | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Seeker | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Missy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Spiteful | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clap Back | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wolf Tooth | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden City Street | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Irish | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yancopin | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keokuk Kid | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Bourbon | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | House Trick | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pistol Padre | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5 | Saranac Lake | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Legally Lucky | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Moenchanted | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2B | 7 | Boltoro | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 4 | What’s to Do | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 6 | L. A. Diamond | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Chasing Shadows | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Argan | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I’m McDreamy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clockin In | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Got Game | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Force | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faust | 1.20 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Max Got Excited | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Jimi D | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shanett | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itzel | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ibuki | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | September Magic | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Electrifying Lady | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Arlington | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Key to Success | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Carroll County | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rojo Rita | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Filly Crystal | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delacina | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swiftwind | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ozona | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kelly’s Girl | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Butterfly | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Prayer | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seeking Sawyer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Got No Munny | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Waco | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taillights | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chez Whiz | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Martini Blu | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Critical Threat | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Shot | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Shoes | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Barrier | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Face Value | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spun D M C | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty Four Yarder | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rooster J | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hammond | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Ken | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top Level | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Man | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moneymilitia | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scouser | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stronghold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gould’s Gold | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Woodcourt | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seize the Night | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Party | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bendoog | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Russell | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shances R | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camino | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fatguyinlittlecoat | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bienville | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hillbilly Daydream | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Fuzz | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rip Cord | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Point | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie Paper | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.