Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baby Needs Shoes | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suntory Time | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intuitivebynature | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G’oro | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Up for the Hunt | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Genuine Grace | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | By the Moonlight | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beer Buzz | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame It On Jack | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Filkins | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hungover | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Gold | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cyprus Moon | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delitefull Hart | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | How Lovely (IRE) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shamrockin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | How About Pavel | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Soi Ngern | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joey Ten | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Subic Boy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tab Walker | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kiki Ride | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Son of Oneeyedmama | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naudesnoodle | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shangrilama (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Mayshe Reign | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Flower | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invincible Molly (GB) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oveta’s Hobby | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tam’s Little Angel | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ro Town | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dress Rehearsal | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Say That | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cammy’s Girl | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gogotiz | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddygaveittome | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Ruth | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ibiza Flavor | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danzig Til Dawn | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scene by Me | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grazed | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Known Idea | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Supernal | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Percival | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Minister Shane | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trump Era | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Druidic | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Petrakos | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leyas Candy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contrary Chieftain | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Kai | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Upstart Yankee | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mother’s Prayer | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So I’m Told | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Candy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tom Seaver | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin Command | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miles Finch | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Refocus | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mio Bambino | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hothead | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frank Bullitt | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Clover | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chromeflash | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.