Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Haley’s Honor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Trouble | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rarified (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enchanted Forest | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saucy Name | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Riley | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Victoria Elizabeth | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thatsitthatsall | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zippy Gamble | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leziate | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Snow | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vandoo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Tormenta | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Barbara Joan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Minimum Forty | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silicium (FR) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess of Storm | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Virago | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gretna Green | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chargethatmountain | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Strawberry | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dedos | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Earendel | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buff Bay | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princessonamission | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Empire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Delta Force | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Win | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Impulsive Bid | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justine | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Auntie’s Bambino | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Souper Diva | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sinclairity | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chromeplated Heart | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Sicily | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verdejo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Valentine | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prima | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Perfect | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up N the Ante | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maltese Warrior | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frankness | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elgin Park | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bettermustcome | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dave’s Legacy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.