Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tarantino | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carolo Rapido | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurry Hurry | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldeneye | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Badge of War | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Fast | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bestfriend Rocket | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bartender | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Club | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romany Road | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tutta Bella | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Be Salty | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dakota Cam | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Select | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Salty | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nan O’Hara | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gus’s Gal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Sunsets | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Raze | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Hot Gamer | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dani Girl | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Spotted | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solaia | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speightsy Rival | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shining Silver | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Town Renee | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fifteen Over | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cloud Number Nine | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crystal Frost | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Willowy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Teralee’s Charm | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valiant War Girl | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Up Country | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commerce | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saugeen | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Money Man | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Anthem | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nomolimbo | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingsmere | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oubliette | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reb | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Final Story | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cierto | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Forefathers | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Radar Lock | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mouqeer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dawes Point | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barracks | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Fox | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Owie | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sense of Freedom | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Limelight | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Sharons Pharoah | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knoty Knicks | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patrol Squad Six | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gairloch | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Noble Dynasty | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Empire West | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Navigation | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Beautiful War | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McCready | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | East Village | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kravitz | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Epic Desire | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Garryowen | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Best Known Secret | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Survivin’onaprayer | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elnajd | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tre Italiani | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Park | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Academy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nation | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | House United | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Big Gain | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frosty Indulgence | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tamino | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Northern Chill | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Palisades S.) – Palisades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Schwarzenegger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Intricate Spirit | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandal’s Song | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Throckmorton | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Shipmate | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Archimedes | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reb Five | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Walter the Mason | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monster | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Azizam (GB) | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Itza Lock | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swung | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Rebel With a Cause | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Track Tiger | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quarry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bod Beach | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Asheville | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tilt a Twirl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Hund | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Non Conforming | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Playonwords | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Cerberus | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Itchy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom’s Cruising | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince J J | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hutchinson | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Yes Chef | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | No Politics | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tachin Up | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Soho Jimmy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.