Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bote | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flyin Private | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aerate | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Complete Overhaul | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | After Party | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Denali Lightning | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Happy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speaking Loud | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Leafology | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Of All Things | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shes the Tall One | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tikihut | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On Ramp | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of June | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Chrome | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everlasting Lover | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rags | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Youramystyle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onthestage | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Love | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Man in the Can | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drum Roll Please | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Grant | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sara’s Shaman | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Own the Field | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Dax | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arky Road | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Joker | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phenomenal Dream | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leonardo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Moon | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missing Rocks | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point Blank | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Mack | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Burlsworth | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chupapi Munyayo | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | You Vee Cee | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Landlord | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Choctaw Zip | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Vision | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miri a Coincidence | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Barrier | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allo Enry | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Bucky Charm | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nat Gas | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skyler | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Solevo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Montana Cafe | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mambrino | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speechless | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | While I | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cravensworth | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unload | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cobblestone Bridge | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Winter’s Ghost | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Thunderer | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mintastic | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sound of Victory | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Best | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Excel Calculator | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brittany’s Dream | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Right On Right On | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Gunner | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red State | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Module | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Henro | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Tower | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Track Phantom | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Osbourne | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet as Sin | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stevie Kicks | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pardon Me Z | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Signdsealddeliverd | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky High Angel | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Slew | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Telling Tales | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sneak Attack | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Airs At Juilliard | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebecca Jo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Night Shadow | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Bonnet | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.