Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flyin Private | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | After Party | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aerate | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bote | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Happy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Complete Overhaul | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speaking Loud | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Denali Lightning | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tikihut | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On Ramp | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Of All Things | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of June | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leafology | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shes the Tall One | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Chrome | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rags | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Everlasting Lover | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Man in the Can | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sara’s Shaman | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Own the Field | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Grant | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Youramystyle | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drum Roll Please | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onthestage | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Love | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Dax | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Moon | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phenomenal Dream | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Joker | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missing Rocks | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arky Road | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Mack | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point Blank | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leonardo | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | You Vee Cee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burlsworth | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Choctaw Zip | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chupapi Munyayo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Landlord | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Vision | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Barrier | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miri a Coincidence | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allo Enry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mambrino | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Bucky Charm | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nat Gas | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | While I | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyler | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Solevo | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speechless | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cravensworth | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Montana Cafe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unload | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Thunderer | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mintastic | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cobblestone Bridge | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Right On Right On | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sound of Victory | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Excel Calculator | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Gunner | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Best | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Winter’s Ghost | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brittany’s Dream | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Tower | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red State | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Henro | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Module | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Track Phantom | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet as Sin | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Osbourne | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pardon Me Z | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stevie Kicks | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Signdsealddeliverd | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky High Angel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rebecca Jo | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sneak Attack | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Telling Tales | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Bonnet | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night Shadow | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Airs At Juilliard | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Slew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.