Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ballyvaughan Gig | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disko Tribute | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tigerhon (FR) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yogi Boy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mutt Dillin | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bob’s Blue Moon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Ale | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Life | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Belmont Bill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Malibu Coast | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Naftis | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | One Smokin Dude | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Commander (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Montana Jet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostwritten | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midway Lane | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Attack Now | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fausto | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nikolina | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eva Lea | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stardialed | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Gambita | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildfire Princess | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empress Matilda (GB) | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Great Shaking | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmo Friday | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Baby | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ballyhooligan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cupid’s Crusader | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Call Paul | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Max | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee N Off | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandisimo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Joker Went Wild | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scatalotadingdong | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rollinwithpolan | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Knockout | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allequin Summer | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trump Era | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petrakos | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Original One | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tamarando Beach | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Windribbon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carol’s Comic | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smarty Nose | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Storm | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | James J. Braddock | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Melanie’s Tiger | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morello | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catch the Breeze | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cali Cat | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baldoro | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Exile (GB) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Call Me Cory | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mythical Reel (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lahaina Flavor | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Strike | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cruisin for Cali | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rastaman Vibe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Santa Maria S.) – Santa Maria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nafisa | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simply Joking | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Cocktail | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Muffin | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Syntax | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | John Metcalfe | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Throwthefirstpunch | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Positive Times | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flash of Lightning | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Robin Olds | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Practical Blame | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Another Swing | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Farmer Tom | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Doing Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Its the Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Vengeance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ottis Betts | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Booked Clubhouse | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.