Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tigerhon (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ballyvaughan Gig | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disko Tribute | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Ale | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yogi Boy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Malibu Coast | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bob’s Blue Moon | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Belmont Bill | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Smokin Dude | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Life | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mutt Dillin | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Commander (FR) | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Naftis | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midway Lane | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fausto | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Attack Now | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montana Jet | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostwritten | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nikolina | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildfire Princess | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eva Lea | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empress Matilda (GB) | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stardialed | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Great Shaking | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmo Friday | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Gambita | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Baby | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Max | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ballyhooligan | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Call Paul | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cupid’s Crusader | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandisimo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee N Off | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Knockout | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scatalotadingdong | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rollinwithpolan | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joker Went Wild | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tamarando Beach | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allequin Summer | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trump Era | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Original One | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petrakos | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Windribbon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morello | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carol’s Comic | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Storm | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smarty Nose | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Melanie’s Tiger | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | James J. Braddock | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baldoro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cali Cat | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City Exile (GB) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lahaina Flavor | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Call Me Cory | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rastaman Vibe | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catch the Breeze | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Strike | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cruisin for Cali | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mythical Reel (IRE) | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Santa Maria S.) – Santa Maria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Simply Joking | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nafisa | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Muffin | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Syntax | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Cocktail | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | John Metcalfe | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flash of Lightning | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Booked Clubhouse | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Robin Olds | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Positive Times | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Doing Time | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Throwthefirstpunch | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Big Vengeance | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ottis Betts | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Practical Blame | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Its the Bandit | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Another Swing | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Farmer Tom | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.