Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Filter | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Counter Move | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mach Schnell | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sports Hero | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stayfrostymyfriend | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Asked and Answered | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bellamy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lil’ Regard | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Add Water | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blossoming Erudite | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snowy Evening | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soloshot | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turriga | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tough Street | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mischief Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marketplaceofideas (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dimensionality | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deference | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pinch of Bourbon | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mistborn | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quadrate | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tejanita | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pomerance | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Party | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pippa Adds | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Themis | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Connection | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hand Over Heart | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Hawley | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | On the Ledge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Burning Bridges | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Funny Factor | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lawyer Mason | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scaramanga | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chummers | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Thirteen | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cerro Rico | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Stance | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Liberty Rising | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sequential | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Superpower | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salming | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smallchangegeep | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnanimous Max | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Bali | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Pitch | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bostontonian | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pair of Socks | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antonio of Venice | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oil Capital | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Mitole | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Private Desire | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benji Star | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saint Margaret | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Copper Caduceus | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aperitif | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Juliet On Approach | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Credit Risk | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Patience N Grace | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daylight Dreamer | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pismo Beach | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quell | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | North Starlight | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Lady Delilah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | No Need to Panic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Big Jackie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Emergency Nine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tiz Improbable | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Speed Walking | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.