Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 23, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gethsemane 0.60 1 2-1
4 4 Jeter 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Colt Forty Seven 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Politics 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Spirit of a Walkon 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 So Special 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Through the Years (IRE) 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Tolstoy 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Wartime 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Joe Joe Dude 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Automatic Press 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Randie’s Rascal (GB) 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Silver Jewel 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Zee R One 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Cross Power 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gracie’s Delight 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Mya Papaya 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Fermi 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Final Shipman 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Turkish Pistachio 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Alta Avenue 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Evolution 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Traject 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Neigh Baby 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Kokomo Joe 3.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Gentleman Jim 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Cerberus 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 No Politics 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Seventy Six 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Ghost Driver 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Itchy 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Soho Jimmy 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Talbingo 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Soleil Volant 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Clyde’s Got a Gun 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Daunt 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Versus 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Ejtimaa 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mount Rundle 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Mesero 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Immortalize 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cold Spell 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Rogue Agent 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Magic Woman 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Ruby Regent 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Mashallah 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Episodic 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 In Scope 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Karma Wins 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Worry Be Gone 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tricky Kitty 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Ontario 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Etawa (IRE) 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Malibu Smart 12.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Les Is Best 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Classic Appeal 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Sheila’s Lion 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Southampton Dock 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Gigi’s World 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Jerseys Parade 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Smokin Hot Blonde 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aegis 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Poise 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Beach Mandy 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Toocoolforschool 8.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Mika’s Way 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Army’s Marauder 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Haunting Echoes 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Nut Bush City 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Daring Move 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Union Roar 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American Debutante (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
14 14 Via Veneto 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Whitethorn 4.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Peachy Canyon (IRE) 4.50 1.8 3-1
12 12 Don’t Look Now 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mary Lois (IRE) 8.00 3.6 7-1
15 15 Golden Hope 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Olatz (GB) 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Tender Temper 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Raconteuse 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Miss Pharaoh 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 You’re So Vain 20.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Marcinkowski 20.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Roiling 30.00 15 28-1
4 4 More Cash Flow 30.00 15 28-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.