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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 23, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gethsemane 0.60 1 2-1
5 5 Politics 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Spirit of a Walkon 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 So Special 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Colt Forty Seven 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Jeter 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Joe Joe Dude 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Through the Years (IRE) 1.40 5.1 10-1
2 2 Tolstoy 4.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Automatic Press 8.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Zee R One 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Wartime 4.50 8.1 15-1
9 9 Randie’s Rascal (GB) 10.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Cross Power 30.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Silver Jewel 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gracie’s Delight 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Fermi 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Evolution 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Traject 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Alta Avenue 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Turkish Pistachio 8.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Final Shipman 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Mya Papaya 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Itchy 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 Kokomo Joe 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Gentleman Jim 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Ghost Driver 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Seventy Six 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Soho Jimmy 30.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 No Politics 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cerberus 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Neigh Baby 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Talbingo 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Clyde’s Got a Gun 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mount Rundle 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Ejtimaa 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Soleil Volant 4.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Daunt 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Mesero 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Versus 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ruby Regent 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Immortalize 3.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Karma Wins 30.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Mashallah 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Cold Spell 4.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 In Scope 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Magic Woman 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rogue Agent 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Episodic 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tricky Kitty 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ontario 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Etawa (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 Les Is Best 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Malibu Smart 12.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Gigi’s World 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Jerseys Parade 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Southampton Dock 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Smokin Hot Blonde 30.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Classic Appeal 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Worry Be Gone 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sheila’s Lion 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aegis 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Haunting Echoes 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Daring Move 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Nut Bush City 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Beach Mandy 4.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Toocoolforschool 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Poise 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Mika’s Way 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Union Roar 30.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Army’s Marauder 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Whitethorn 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mary Lois (IRE) 8.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Miss Pharaoh 15.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 You’re So Vain 20.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Olatz (GB) 10.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Don’t Look Now 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Marcinkowski 20.00 3 6-1
11 11 Peachy Canyon (IRE) 4.50 4 8-1
9 9 Tender Temper 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Raconteuse 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 More Cash Flow 30.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Roiling 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Via Veneto 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Golden Hope 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 American Debutante (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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