Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Temple Hall | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Lew | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glorious Revenge | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wampanoag Chief | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Anubis | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Misslucky | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Twist | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heaven’s Champion | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miah Said | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbononaholiday | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift Attraction | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss D’s Pride | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Last American Exit | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Belleza Negra | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty B M G | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cotton | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pat’s Gamble | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lazio | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bennys Jets | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander At Sea | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Gold | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proud Ronin | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Short Story Long | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lonhro’s Gamble | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Truly Mischief | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heat Merchant | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rye’s My Guy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vamos Viejo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wet and Wild | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always a Way | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cadfael | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pepper Patch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charmingly Evasive | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Maxine | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Second City Saint | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Lullaby | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Melody Maker | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Klickitat Kat | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Pearls | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Woodstock S.) – Woodstock S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Is Best | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Out Hero | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arbiter | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Capo | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gnome | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Baxley | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Lad | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Great Oz | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forty N Five | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arabian Prince | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wyoming Bill | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watsonville Red | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Mascot | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.