Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Danzig’s Dora | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sing a Little Song | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C’Est Cheese | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mascara | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Sauce | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Letmenowhenurready | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Booked | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fanshell Beach | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Ready | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoke Trail | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jasper Valley | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heart of a Hero | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spying | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aviso | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heartbeat | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daddario | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Wilhelmina | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frosty Mojito | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Faye’s Gold | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unlimited Gold | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | French Mistress | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sheila’s Lion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Freaks Go | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Candy | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Time Left | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wisconsin Gal | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G Rocks | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Lady Day | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Ofthe Dance | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Harbe | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Standard Deduction | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe’s Candy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vino Dominus | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Sal | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Circuit Breaker | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outofpi | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highway Patrol | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sierra Power | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lasting Legacy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barstool | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lennie G | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gene and Jude | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Footprint | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Obelisk | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Garryowen | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rulookinforrayray | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hyperbolize | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aguila Negra | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Khetam | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hayes Goal | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Rabbit | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Point | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bagg O Time | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mount Horeb | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Culprit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wish Carefully | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Li Grand Zombi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Comes a Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McIlroy | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another Monarch | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nassau Circle | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vino Subito | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Il Cavallino | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Favoritism | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Bullet | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hardtoblame | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fayette Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mo Hair Sam | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Up to No Good | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Phila Street | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Furio | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Light the Way | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | This Is Uscar | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Owen Almighty | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Echo Again | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold My Bourbon | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | U Devil You | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Saikali | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flood Zone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beeline | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bacio | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Camp Hale | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Simulate | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Rogue | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | B D Valeski | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jet Sweep Joe | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Headed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Monsieur Candy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Dani Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Smash It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Our Starry Night | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.