Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sing a Little Song | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danzig’s Dora | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C’Est Cheese | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mascara | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Sauce | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Letmenowhenurready | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Booked | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fanshell Beach | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Ready | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jasper Valley | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoke Trail | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heart of a Hero | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spying | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheila’s Lion | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Wilhelmina | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddario | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | French Mistress | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heartbeat | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Faye’s Gold | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aviso | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frosty Mojito | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unlimited Gold | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Belle Ofthe Dance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Candy | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wisconsin Gal | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Time Left | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freaks Go | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G Rocks | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Lady Day | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joe’s Candy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Vino Dominus | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Harbe | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lasting Legacy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Standard Deduction | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lennie G | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Circuit Breaker | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highway Patrol | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outofpi | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Sal | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barstool | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sierra Power | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Mount Horeb | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gene and Jude | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Footprint | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Rabbit | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Culprit | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Garryowen | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rulookinforrayray | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Li Grand Zombi | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Khetam | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hyperbolize | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Obelisk | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wish Carefully | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hayes Goal | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bagg O Time | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Point | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aguila Negra | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Comes a Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Monarch | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | McIlroy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vino Subito | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Il Cavallino | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Favoritism | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hardtoblame | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fayette Spirit | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nassau Circle | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Up to No Good | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Phila Street | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Bullet | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mo Hair Sam | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | U Devil You | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flood Zone | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo Again | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Owen Almighty | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Furio | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Is Uscar | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light the Way | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hold My Bourbon | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Saikali | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bacio | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Camp Hale | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Starry Night | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Headed | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smash It | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monsieur Candy | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Dani Boy | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beeline | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simulate | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | B D Valeski | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Rogue | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jet Sweep Joe | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.