Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ortho Star | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starlord | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Face the Facts | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simply Disregarded | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atrocious | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Kingdom | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Give Her Another | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ranting and Raving | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Zest | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dale | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Fergie | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Amelie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Inamorata | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Marjorie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | To Be Loved by You | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Spice | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Girl | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eleanor Rigby | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nit Witness | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Chakra | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Fleet | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sandy Girl | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Halo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calisa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marvelous Mo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willisau | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Notion | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nomowineforyou | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We Miss Neil | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starrosso | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Captain Fancy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Men Violin | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dirty Cash | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Centaur Central | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gavone | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halftime Show | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Penn Franklin | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pam Pam | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Songmaker | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tower Twenty Two | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Can Run | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Kalamoh | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strike a Rose | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tariba Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Query | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Cocoa Bean | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Up N Runnin | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximus Angelicus | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Annabelle | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peacefulezfeeling | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Xmas in Cairo | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Girl | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Military Hero | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Psalmist | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Onceinawhile | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Bennett | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Army | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ragatony | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Who’s Your Hattie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chowser | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.