Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Empire Builder | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Noble Knight | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | National Eclipse | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quokka | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tres Soles | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charbon | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nip N Tuck | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raising Kane | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Highly Flammable | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Mmmmm | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barksdale | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Macho | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chiringo | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Altobelli | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charbonnay | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bush | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruiva | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Epic | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Champagne Dream | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Traction Park | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | By Grace | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Epicure | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barometric | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Dream | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bit Tipsy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Baby | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tuxca | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Abbi Fede | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turbo Launch | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Newman | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feral | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Underappreciated | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Traverse City | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | The Fed’s Plot | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fly Guy Mick | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power of Will | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ur Benja | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bearister | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nyttime Story | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mush Carey | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Holyrood | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Amberssohn | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Scarce | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ribadeo | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diagram | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Go Playmate | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon and Spice | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Santiana | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grant’s Gretchen | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Rainbow | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Braveheart | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luck of the Day | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Kentucky Juvenile S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Kentucky Juvenile S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Skara Brae | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Waggley | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peak Perspective | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Saiyajin | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Town | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glory Run | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frontline Fury | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Pope | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shoot It True | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roja | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rosato | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Satin Blue | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justinqueso | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Fashion Kate | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tempting Eve | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Caber Neigh | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cart Girl Sam | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Mo Joke | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gladriel | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | J Z’s Last Schance | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caberneigh | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sharons Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Work | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Norwich | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gordon’s Legacy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | South Bend Tom | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Freedom | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Mojo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speedstorm | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Advice | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just Like Max | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Isaac Murphy Marathon S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Isaac Murphy Marathon S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Parchment Party | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Bien Ni Mal (BRZ) | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wynstock | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Interceptor | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Digital Ops | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stowaway | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timeout | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Makes Sense | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Really Know (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Texas Holiday | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Heart Spin | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Austin High | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oak Alley | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Menkaure | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Queen Mercedes | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Honor Azteca | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kittens Stormy Gal | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mustang Lady | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Egyptian Candy | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bindi | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fashion Affirmed | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Got Gone | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sussudio | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.