Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Empire Builder | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quokka | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | National Eclipse | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raising Kane | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tres Soles | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nip N Tuck | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charbon | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Noble Knight | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mister Mmmmm | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highly Flammable | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barksdale | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Real Macho | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chiringo | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Altobelli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Charbonnay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | By Grace | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bush | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Champagne Dream | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruiva | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Epicure | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Epic | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barometric | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bit Tipsy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Traction Park | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tuxca | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Baby | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Abbi Fede | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turbo Launch | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Newman | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Feral | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Underappreciated | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bearister | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Traverse City | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ur Benja | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holyrood | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nyttime Story | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | The Fed’s Plot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fly Guy Mick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Power of Will | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mush Carey | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Amberssohn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Diagram | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon and Spice | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Go Playmate | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Santiana | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ribadeo | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Rainbow | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scarce | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luck of the Day | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grant’s Gretchen | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Braveheart | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Kentucky Juvenile S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Kentucky Juvenile S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Waggley | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Saiyajin | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peak Perspective | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | American Pope | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skara Brae | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Frontline Fury | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Glory Run | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Town | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Caber Neigh | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Satin Blue | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justinqueso | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Mo Joke | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Fashion Kate | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cart Girl Sam | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Roja | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tempting Eve | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rosato | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gladriel | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caberneigh | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shoot It True | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | J Z’s Last Schance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Norwich | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gordon’s Legacy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Mojo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Work | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharons Beach | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Freedom | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | South Bend Tom | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speedstorm | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Advice | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just Like Max | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Isaac Murphy Marathon S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Isaac Murphy Marathon S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Bien Ni Mal (BRZ) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wynstock | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parchment Party | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Interceptor | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stowaway | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Makes Sense | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Digital Ops | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Timeout | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Never Really Know (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oak Alley | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heart Spin | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Austin High | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Egyptian Candy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kittens Stormy Gal | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fashion Affirmed | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Got Gone | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mustang Lady | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honor Azteca | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sussudio | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Texas Holiday | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bindi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Queen Mercedes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Menkaure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.