Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Irresistible | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pomerance | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tejanita | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Directive | 0.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlit | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Chase | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Wisdom | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fever Night | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shipsational | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enduring Spirit | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolly’s Bank | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tahila | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baseball Lady | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amy’s Light | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit of Esther | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K Gun | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shadyside | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mitole’s Girl | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Danneel | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Sassicaia | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Sera | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | That’sthefactjack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rogue Justice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Tiger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Franklin Delano | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Rain No Flowers | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King’s Remark (IRE) | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steady Force | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crude Intentions | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ollie Luke Out | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Hopkins | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chips and Fish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stream It | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chess Match | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Apollo Code | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New York Scrappy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Paco | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capt Jax Parrow | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three Little Birds | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tarpaulin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Egyptian | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Come Full Circle | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magni | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paros | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belouni (FR) | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Atlantique | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Spark | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ambition | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Bear Plunge | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Life and Light | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smilensaycheese | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Centavo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cicciobello | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Military Road | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Golden Symphony | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Atira | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Ariel | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Venetta | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Careless Whisper | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Walking | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Garden of Grace | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shake Em Off | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | No Need to Panic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Emergency Nine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Avery’s Wonderland | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.