Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Everything Bugs Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amelia’s Echo | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justice Addition | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Donita | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cachinnation | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cryptic Miss | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Look N Mighty Fine | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catching Heat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Avery County | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tikihut | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kava | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Line Runner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pippa’s Noncents | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battisto | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Over Malibu | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Marriage | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Why Chris Why | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carolines Hart | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kansas Smoke | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mama Glows | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sexagenarian | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camp Evans | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go West Go | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gun Fire | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Goodtime | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Keep Looking | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speaking Loud | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Floating Beauty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Citational | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Woopig | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rando | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Promisemeanempire | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Delicious Diva | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bow Draw | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Severe Clear | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Bossy Lady | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Krispy Rice | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Troubler | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lilly Mae | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chica Arma | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Q’s Your Mama | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wreaking Havoc | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cosmic Chic | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sending | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mathurine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | One Giant Leap | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Martini Blu | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bettys Cash | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chrome’s Echo | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Cool Dude | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | While I | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Personal Jet | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skyler | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solevo | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miri a Coincidence | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lea Me Be | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kunshan Bridge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Remember the Fear | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Twice | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emirates Affair | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coaster | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Insightful Miss | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dominant Diva | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Key to Success | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talkin in Cursive | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tizntshelovely | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sultry Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tap to Open | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tahlequah | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Intangible | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | On Ramp | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Woman | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crevalla de Vil | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Authentic Kitten | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyforge | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Time for Zima | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stevie Kicks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Natural State Breeders’ S.) – Natural State Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Caliente Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walk Away Kaye | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lassie My Girl | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Way Or Another | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Appealing Addie | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Mallard | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Strategy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Macy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Principal Anita | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cur Non | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whispering Charm | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artemis Sparkles | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blackwood | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Baby D | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Roots Tootn | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stephens Dream | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valeska’s Promise | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barb’s Girl | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peeps Pride | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | North Lake Kate | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foxy Fay | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Peaceful Dreams | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bolivia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cutenclassy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.