Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cameron Slough | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free and Humble | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Bar | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Rider | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Splendid | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlit Courage | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lihue Princess | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Potica | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s My Star | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Quest | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pay One More Dream | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soo Bronx | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Caitlin | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Decapo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money Makes Money | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steak Fries | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Punto Forty | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grey’s Boy | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luck Lucky (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Universal Sound | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Falabella | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harney Lane | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cee’s the Image | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gigi’s Girl | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dress Rehearsal | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Glitter | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Crush | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Rose | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Preem | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violences Ohr | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Women | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cooling Off | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sparkle Sweetly | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Blue | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Walk’n the Beach | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Cecy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Infinity Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunk Cost Fallacy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Readytoboard | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shady Gem | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Slade | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charmz Away | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courtside Action | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dane the Great | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trojan Mafia | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rowdybarfight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Man Joe Roldan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Perfect Wave | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Gal (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sareeha (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Joker | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surf Song | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hannah Buckle (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baltic Fire | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Janey Creed | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Molly Jensen | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Savannahs Big Girl | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Lock | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Only Reputation | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dustem Too | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betty Pack | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloudy Rose | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keep the Pavels | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winika | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Justivar | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Egyptian Mistress | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Reign | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Springline | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tipitap | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Consort | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Specialty | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kintrigue | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fire Ban | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smokem Hot Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dats Ms. Blame | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.