Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Candy Bar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Rider | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cameron Slough | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free and Humble | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Splendid | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlit Courage | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lihue Princess | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Quest | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pay One More Dream | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Potica | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s My Star | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Caitlin | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soo Bronx | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Decapo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grey’s Boy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Universal Sound | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Makes Money | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steak Fries | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Punto Forty | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luck Lucky (IRE) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Falabella | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harney Lane | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gigi’s Girl | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Glitter | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cee’s the Image | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Crush | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Rose | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dress Rehearsal | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Women | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Blue | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Preem | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Infinity Dream | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violences Ohr | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Walk’n the Beach | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cooling Off | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Cecy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparkle Sweetly | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shady Gem | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trojan Mafia | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Slade | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charmz Away | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Readytoboard | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunk Cost Fallacy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Man Joe Roldan | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dane the Great | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courtside Action | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rowdybarfight | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Perfect Wave | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sareeha (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Gal (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hannah Buckle (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Janey Creed | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baltic Fire | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surf Song | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Joker | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Betty Pack | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Molly Jensen | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Savannahs Big Girl | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Only Reputation | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloudy Rose | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Lock | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dustem Too | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keep the Pavels | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Justivar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fire Ban | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tipitap | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winika | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Egyptian Mistress | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dats Ms. Blame | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Springline | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kintrigue | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Reign | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Specialty | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Consort | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Smokem Hot Girl | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.