Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hard Circle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Off | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Ducks | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nod to Tran | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oligarch | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Town Dog | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daw Samaa | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rare Society | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A. P. Slingshot | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dat Dares Right | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ishkabibble | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Legs | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarir | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s Grand | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast and Frisky | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Early On | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweetest Princess | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant At Work | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mommasgottagun | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hours in a Day | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Playa Del Mar | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J J’s Ranger | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cocktailsnkringle | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Refuah | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turn and Count | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oath of Omerta | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Before the Wind | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honoree | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nonno Joe | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Commander | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Easemyworriedmind | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sfumato | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sleep Walking | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nancy’s Laugh | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reign It In | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Judge Boushay | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Sheepshead Bay S.) – Sheepshead Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiamba (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unreasonable (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Miami (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Firefoot | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bernietakescharge | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dona Clota (CHI) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Phileas Fogg | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pay Billy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warp Nine | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Le Gris | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Otello | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whittington Park | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scythian | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | National Archive | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Concerto | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Higher Force | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Fool Me | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Beauty | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snowy Evening | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Becca | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Royal Bobbie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Trail of Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magnum’s Microbrst | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Complex | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yolo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Mackenzie | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Cara | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alma’s Law | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Defining Role | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paraiba Blue | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Essence L Vee | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katerina Ristova | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Key Actress | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mappy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Truda | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pay the Bills (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.